Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Monitoring, Evaluation and Early Warning of Agricultural Input and Output Markets in Turkey: Current Status and New Trends

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: EKS 1 - 15. Ulusal Tarım Ekonomisi Kongresi Ek Sayısı, 26 - 39, 27.12.2023

Vedat Ceyhan

https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1361021

Öz

In this study, it is aimed to reveal the current situation in Türkiye in the context of agricultural market monitoring, evaluation and early warning and to develop monitoring system based on the results of the analysis synchrony data obtained from actors of agricultural network. The study proposes a model based on information technology to enable effective monitoring of agricultural markets in Türkiye. In the study, data obtained from previous national and international research on the subject and individual interviews with interested parties were used. SWOT analysis was used to reveal the current situation in terms of monitoring and evaluation of agricultural markets. Developments and global trends in the context of monitoring and evaluation of agricultural markets are presented on the basis of literature and good practice examples. Recommended model is based on block chain technology and IoT. The results of the study showed that the agricultural markets in Türkiye could not be monitored effectively, there was not a consolidating organizational structure to fulfill the monitoring and early warning functions, and the information technology could not be utilized sufficiently in monitoring-evaluation. The results of the study also revealed that with the effect of changing world conditions, a new paradigm, which foresees sensitive management and decision processes based on data and information technology, has been adopted in developed countries. In the study, the traditional agricultural market monitoring approach, which is currently applied in Türkiye, should be replaced with the new one based on digital technologies (block chain, internet of things, etc.) and new analysis approach such as machine and deep learning, artificial intelligence, etc. The study proposes that necessary studies be carried out to move to the new paradigm.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Monitoring agricultural markets Early warning Information technology

Kaynakça

  • Alobid, M., Abujudeh, S., Sz˝ ucs, I. (2022). The Role of Blockchain in Revolutionizing the Agricultural Sector. Sustainability, 14, 4313.
  • Assefa, T. T., Kuiper, W. E., Meuwissen, M. P. M. (2014). The Effect of Farmer Market Power on the Degree of Farm Retail Price Transmission: A Simulation Model with an Application to the Dutch Ware Potato Supply Chain. Agribusiness, 30(4), 424- 437. doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/%28ISSN%291520- 6297/issues.
  • Azzam, A., M. (1999). Asymmetry in rigidity in farm-retail price transmission. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 81, 525–533.
  • Bakucs, Z., Falkowski, J., & Ferto, I. (2012). Price Transmission in the Milk Sectors of Poland and Hungary. Post-Communist Economies, 24(3), 419-432. doi:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cpce20.
  • Bakucs, Z., Falkowski, J., & Ferto, I. (2014). Does Market Structure Influence Price Transmission in the Agro-Food Sector? A Meta-analysis Perspective. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(1), 1-25. doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/ %28ISSN%291477- 9552/issues
  • Baltussen, W., Drabik, D., Dries, L., van Galen, M., Ihle, R., Logatcheva, K., Oosterkamp, E. (2019). Monitoring of Prices and Margins in EU Food Supply Chains. Exisitng and Alternatives Approaches. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2019, ISBN 978-92-79-98396-2, doi:10.2760/197814, JRC114719.
  • Bukeviciute, L.,Dierx, A., Ilzkovitz, F., Roty, G. (2009). Price transmission along the supply chain in the European Union. Papre prepared for the presentation at the 113th seminar “A resilient European food industry and food chain in challengingworld”, Greece, September 3-6, 2009.
  • COMCEC, (2018). Improving Agricultural Market Performance: Developing Agricultural Market Information Systems. Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation.
  • COMPETE, (2012). International comparisons of product supply chains in the agro-food sectors: determinants of their competitiveness and performance on EU and international markets. Project website, IAMO. Available at http://www.competeproject.eu/, (Erişim tarihi: Ağustos 2017).
  • Copa-Cogeca, (2016). Enhancing the position of farmers in the supply chain. Report of the Agricultural Markets Task Force Brussels, November 2016
  • Deutsche Welle (2017). Quién tiene el poder sobre nuestros alimentos? [Who is in control of our food?]. Article by Theresa Krinninger. http://www.dw.com/es/qui%C3%A9n-tiene-el-poder-sobre-nuestros-alimentos/a37081971.
  • El Pais (2015). Batalla por el control del supermercado - La guerra de precios y la merma de clientes acelera la concentración de la distribución [The battle for the power of the supermarket - Price competition and client loss speeds up retail sector concentration]. Article by Cristina Delgado, 8 March. Available at https://economia.elpais.com/economia/2015/03/07/actualidad/1425732436_2220 1.html.
  • EuroCommerce (2016). Agri-markets transparency tools. Position paper by Christel Delberghe, 21 April. The retail, wholesale and international trade representation to the EU. https://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/sites/agriculture/files/agrimarkets-task-force/contributions/2016-03-08/ eurocommercepositionpaper_en.pdf.
  • Feenstra, R, Hanson, G.H. (1996). Globalization, Outsourcing, and Wage Inequality. American Economic Review 86(2):240-45.
  • Fritza, S., Seea, L., Bayasa, J.L.C., Waldner, F., Jacquesc, D., Becker-Reshefd, I., Whitcraftd, A., Baruthe, B., Bonifaciof, R. Crutchfieldg, J., Rembolde, F., Rojash, O., Schucknechti, A., Van der Veldee, M., Verdinj, J., Wuk, B., Yank, N., Youl, L., Gilliamsm, S., Müchern, S., Tetraultg, R., Moorthya, I., McCallum, I. (2019). Comparison of global agricultural monitoring systems and current gaps. Agricultural Systems, 168: 258-272.
  • Galtier F., David-Benz H., Subervie J., Egg J. (2014). Agricultural market information systems in developing countries: New models, new impacts. Cah Agric 23: 232-44. doi : 10.1684/agr.2014.0716.
  • Hossain, N., Green, D. (2011). Living on a spike How is the 2011 food price crisis affecting poor people? Oxfam Research Report, June 2011.
  • HLPE, (2011). Price volatility and food security. A report by the High-Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition of the Committee on World Food Security, Rome 2011.
  • Ihle, R., Kurur, L., Johngeneel, R., Venüs, T.J. Wesseler, J.H.H. (2017). Research for agri committee-The EU cattle sector: Challenges and opportunities-milk and meet. Directorate of General for Internal Policies Policy Department B: Structural and Cohesion Policies, Report Number: IP/B/ AGRI/IC/2016 – 014, Eropean Parliament.
  • IICA, (2016). Agricultural Market Information Systems: MIS / MIOA, IICA. Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture, ISBN: 978-92-9248-642-6, 82 pp.
  • Ismaiel, E.F.A.A. (2010). Markets and Price Monitoring. Training Manual. FAO‐SIFSIA/SUDAN Integrated Food Security Information for Action.
  • Jurkenaite, N., Paparas, D. (2018). Vertical price transmission along the potato supply chain in Lithuania. Conference: Research for Rural Development, 2018, DOI:10.22616/rrd.24.2018.075
  • Kasnakoğlu, H. (2022). Türkiye Tarım İstatistikleri: Bütünleşik Bir Veri Tabanı Önerisi. Ekonomi-tek, 11 (2) , 63-105 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ekonomitek/issue/72833/1162173
  • London Economics, (2004). Investigation of the determinants of farm-retail price spreads, Final report to DEFRA, U.K.
  • Meijerink, G. (2015). Speculation and volatile food prices: An overview of the debate and research. Seventh Multi-year Expert Meeting on Commodities and Development, 15-16 April 2015, Geneva.
  • Oosterkamp, E., Logatcheva, K., van Galen, M., Georgiev, E. (2013). Food price monitoring and observatories: an exploration of costs and effects; Summary and Executive Summary. LEI Wageningen UR, The Hague, Project code 2273000397, LEI Memorandum 13-058, 16 p.
  • Palpacuer, F., Tozanli, S. (2008). Changing governance patterns in European food chains : the rise of a new divide between global players and regional producers. Transnational Corporations, 17(1): 69-99.
  • Pokrivcak, J., Rajcaniova, M. (2014). Price Transmission along the Food Supply Chain in Slovakia. Post-Communist Economies, 26(4), 555-568. doi:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cpce20.
  • Puyt, R.W., Lie, F.B., Wilderom, C.P.M. (2023). The Origins of Swot Analysis. Long Range Planning, 56 (3): 102304
  • Rajcaniova, M., Pokrivcak, J. (2013). Asymmetry in price transmission mechanism: the case of Slovak potato market. Review of Agricultural and Applied Economics 16(02):16-23, DOI: 10.15414/raae.2013.16.02.16-23
  • Rapsomanikis, G., Hallam, D., Conforti, P. (2003). Market integration and price transmission in selected food and cash crop markets of developing countries: review and applications. In FAO, Commodity Market Review, FAO Commodities and Trade Division, Rome.
  • Reuters (2017). Protesting farmers cover EU summit centre with milk powder. 23 January. Available at http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-europe-dairy-protestsidUKKBN1571SM.
  • Röller, L.H., Stennek, J., Verboven, F. (2006). Efficiency gain from mergers. Discussion papers. FS IV 00-09, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin, 2000.
  • Swierczek, A. (2014). The impact of supply chain integration on the “snowball effect” in the transmission of disruptions: An empirical evaluation of the model. International Journal of Production Economics 157:89-104, DOI:10.1016/j.ijpe.2013.08.010
  • Teoli, D., Sanvictores, T., An, J. (2022). SWOT Analysis. In StatPearls Publishing, Treasure Island, PMID:30725987.
  • Vavra, P., Goodwin, B. K. (2005). Analysis of price transmission along the food chain. Wenerfelt, B. (1984). A resource-based view of the firm. Strategic Management Journal 5, 171–180.
  • Zachariasse, V., Bunte, F. (2003). How are farmers faring in the changing balance of power along the food supply chain? OECD Conference: Changing Dimensions of the Food Economy: Exploring the Policy Issues, The Hague, 6-7 February 2003.

Türkiye’de Tarım Piyasaları İzleme, Değerlendirme ve Erken Uyarı: Mevcut Durum ve Yeni Yönelimler

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: EKS 1 - 15. Ulusal Tarım Ekonomisi Kongresi Ek Sayısı, 26 - 39, 27.12.2023

Vedat Ceyhan

https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1361021

Öz

Bu çalışmada, tarım piyasaları izleme, değerlendirme ve erken uyarı bağlamında Türkiye’deki mevcut durumu ortaya koymak ve tarım ekosisteminde yer alan aktörlerden sağlanan gerçek zamanlı verilerin analiz sonuçlarına dayalı piyasa izleme ve değerlendirme yapabilecek bir model önerisi geliştirmek amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada konuya ilişkin daha önce yapılmış ulusal ve uluslararası araştırmalardan ve ilgili taraflarla yapılan bireysel görüşmelerden elde edilen veriler kullanılmıştır. Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirme açısından mevcut durumun ortaya konulmasında güçlü yönler, zayıf yönler, fırsatlar, tehditler (GZFT) analizinden yararlanılmıştır. Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirilmesi bağlamında yaşanan gelişmeler ve küresel eğilimler literatüre dayalı olarak ve iyi uygulama örnekleri esas alınarak ortaya konulmuştur. Çalışma sonuçları Türkiye’de tarım piyasalarının olması gereken düzeyde izlenemediğini, izlemeyi ve erken uyarı fonksiyonunu yerine getirecek toparlayıcı bir organizasyon yapısının olmadığını ve izleme-değerlendirmede teknolojiden yeterli düzeyde yararlanılamadığını göstermiştir. Çalışma sonuçları ayrıca değişen dünya koşulları sebebiyle hassas yönetim ile veri ve bilgi teknolojisine dayalı karar süreçlerini öngören yeni değerler dizisine geçilmesi gerektiğini ortaya koymuştur. Çalışma Türkiye’de hali hazırda uygulanan geleneksel tarım piyasaları izleme yaklaşımından, dijital teknolojilerle (blok zincir, nesnelerin interneti vb.) gerçek zamanlı verilerin elde edilip bu verilerin makine ve derin öğrenmesi, yapay zekâ vb. gibi analiz yöntemleriyle analiz edilerek karar sürecinin işletildiği yeni değerler dizisine geçilmesi için gerekli çalışmaların yapılmasını önermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirme Erken uyarı Bilgi teknolojileri

Kaynakça

  • Alobid, M., Abujudeh, S., Sz˝ ucs, I. (2022). The Role of Blockchain in Revolutionizing the Agricultural Sector. Sustainability, 14, 4313.
  • Assefa, T. T., Kuiper, W. E., Meuwissen, M. P. M. (2014). The Effect of Farmer Market Power on the Degree of Farm Retail Price Transmission: A Simulation Model with an Application to the Dutch Ware Potato Supply Chain. Agribusiness, 30(4), 424- 437. doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/%28ISSN%291520- 6297/issues.
  • Azzam, A., M. (1999). Asymmetry in rigidity in farm-retail price transmission. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 81, 525–533.
  • Bakucs, Z., Falkowski, J., & Ferto, I. (2012). Price Transmission in the Milk Sectors of Poland and Hungary. Post-Communist Economies, 24(3), 419-432. doi:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cpce20.
  • Bakucs, Z., Falkowski, J., & Ferto, I. (2014). Does Market Structure Influence Price Transmission in the Agro-Food Sector? A Meta-analysis Perspective. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(1), 1-25. doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/ %28ISSN%291477- 9552/issues
  • Baltussen, W., Drabik, D., Dries, L., van Galen, M., Ihle, R., Logatcheva, K., Oosterkamp, E. (2019). Monitoring of Prices and Margins in EU Food Supply Chains. Exisitng and Alternatives Approaches. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2019, ISBN 978-92-79-98396-2, doi:10.2760/197814, JRC114719.
  • Bukeviciute, L.,Dierx, A., Ilzkovitz, F., Roty, G. (2009). Price transmission along the supply chain in the European Union. Papre prepared for the presentation at the 113th seminar “A resilient European food industry and food chain in challengingworld”, Greece, September 3-6, 2009.
  • COMCEC, (2018). Improving Agricultural Market Performance: Developing Agricultural Market Information Systems. Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation.
  • COMPETE, (2012). International comparisons of product supply chains in the agro-food sectors: determinants of their competitiveness and performance on EU and international markets. Project website, IAMO. Available at http://www.competeproject.eu/, (Erişim tarihi: Ağustos 2017).
  • Copa-Cogeca, (2016). Enhancing the position of farmers in the supply chain. Report of the Agricultural Markets Task Force Brussels, November 2016
  • Deutsche Welle (2017). Quién tiene el poder sobre nuestros alimentos? [Who is in control of our food?]. Article by Theresa Krinninger. http://www.dw.com/es/qui%C3%A9n-tiene-el-poder-sobre-nuestros-alimentos/a37081971.
  • El Pais (2015). Batalla por el control del supermercado - La guerra de precios y la merma de clientes acelera la concentración de la distribución [The battle for the power of the supermarket - Price competition and client loss speeds up retail sector concentration]. Article by Cristina Delgado, 8 March. Available at https://economia.elpais.com/economia/2015/03/07/actualidad/1425732436_2220 1.html.
  • EuroCommerce (2016). Agri-markets transparency tools. Position paper by Christel Delberghe, 21 April. The retail, wholesale and international trade representation to the EU. https://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/sites/agriculture/files/agrimarkets-task-force/contributions/2016-03-08/ eurocommercepositionpaper_en.pdf.
  • Feenstra, R, Hanson, G.H. (1996). Globalization, Outsourcing, and Wage Inequality. American Economic Review 86(2):240-45.
  • Fritza, S., Seea, L., Bayasa, J.L.C., Waldner, F., Jacquesc, D., Becker-Reshefd, I., Whitcraftd, A., Baruthe, B., Bonifaciof, R. Crutchfieldg, J., Rembolde, F., Rojash, O., Schucknechti, A., Van der Veldee, M., Verdinj, J., Wuk, B., Yank, N., Youl, L., Gilliamsm, S., Müchern, S., Tetraultg, R., Moorthya, I., McCallum, I. (2019). Comparison of global agricultural monitoring systems and current gaps. Agricultural Systems, 168: 258-272.
  • Galtier F., David-Benz H., Subervie J., Egg J. (2014). Agricultural market information systems in developing countries: New models, new impacts. Cah Agric 23: 232-44. doi : 10.1684/agr.2014.0716.
  • Hossain, N., Green, D. (2011). Living on a spike How is the 2011 food price crisis affecting poor people? Oxfam Research Report, June 2011.
  • HLPE, (2011). Price volatility and food security. A report by the High-Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition of the Committee on World Food Security, Rome 2011.
  • Ihle, R., Kurur, L., Johngeneel, R., Venüs, T.J. Wesseler, J.H.H. (2017). Research for agri committee-The EU cattle sector: Challenges and opportunities-milk and meet. Directorate of General for Internal Policies Policy Department B: Structural and Cohesion Policies, Report Number: IP/B/ AGRI/IC/2016 – 014, Eropean Parliament.
  • IICA, (2016). Agricultural Market Information Systems: MIS / MIOA, IICA. Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture, ISBN: 978-92-9248-642-6, 82 pp.
  • Ismaiel, E.F.A.A. (2010). Markets and Price Monitoring. Training Manual. FAO‐SIFSIA/SUDAN Integrated Food Security Information for Action.
  • Jurkenaite, N., Paparas, D. (2018). Vertical price transmission along the potato supply chain in Lithuania. Conference: Research for Rural Development, 2018, DOI:10.22616/rrd.24.2018.075
  • Kasnakoğlu, H. (2022). Türkiye Tarım İstatistikleri: Bütünleşik Bir Veri Tabanı Önerisi. Ekonomi-tek, 11 (2) , 63-105 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ekonomitek/issue/72833/1162173
  • London Economics, (2004). Investigation of the determinants of farm-retail price spreads, Final report to DEFRA, U.K.
  • Meijerink, G. (2015). Speculation and volatile food prices: An overview of the debate and research. Seventh Multi-year Expert Meeting on Commodities and Development, 15-16 April 2015, Geneva.
  • Oosterkamp, E., Logatcheva, K., van Galen, M., Georgiev, E. (2013). Food price monitoring and observatories: an exploration of costs and effects; Summary and Executive Summary. LEI Wageningen UR, The Hague, Project code 2273000397, LEI Memorandum 13-058, 16 p.
  • Palpacuer, F., Tozanli, S. (2008). Changing governance patterns in European food chains : the rise of a new divide between global players and regional producers. Transnational Corporations, 17(1): 69-99.
  • Pokrivcak, J., Rajcaniova, M. (2014). Price Transmission along the Food Supply Chain in Slovakia. Post-Communist Economies, 26(4), 555-568. doi:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cpce20.
  • Puyt, R.W., Lie, F.B., Wilderom, C.P.M. (2023). The Origins of Swot Analysis. Long Range Planning, 56 (3): 102304
  • Rajcaniova, M., Pokrivcak, J. (2013). Asymmetry in price transmission mechanism: the case of Slovak potato market. Review of Agricultural and Applied Economics 16(02):16-23, DOI: 10.15414/raae.2013.16.02.16-23
  • Rapsomanikis, G., Hallam, D., Conforti, P. (2003). Market integration and price transmission in selected food and cash crop markets of developing countries: review and applications. In FAO, Commodity Market Review, FAO Commodities and Trade Division, Rome.
  • Reuters (2017). Protesting farmers cover EU summit centre with milk powder. 23 January. Available at http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-europe-dairy-protestsidUKKBN1571SM.
  • Röller, L.H., Stennek, J., Verboven, F. (2006). Efficiency gain from mergers. Discussion papers. FS IV 00-09, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin, 2000.
  • Swierczek, A. (2014). The impact of supply chain integration on the “snowball effect” in the transmission of disruptions: An empirical evaluation of the model. International Journal of Production Economics 157:89-104, DOI:10.1016/j.ijpe.2013.08.010
  • Teoli, D., Sanvictores, T., An, J. (2022). SWOT Analysis. In StatPearls Publishing, Treasure Island, PMID:30725987.
  • Vavra, P., Goodwin, B. K. (2005). Analysis of price transmission along the food chain. Wenerfelt, B. (1984). A resource-based view of the firm. Strategic Management Journal 5, 171–180.
  • Zachariasse, V., Bunte, F. (2003). How are farmers faring in the changing balance of power along the food supply chain? OECD Conference: Changing Dimensions of the Food Economy: Exploring the Policy Issues, The Hague, 6-7 February 2003.
Toplam 37 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Tarım Ekonomisi (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Vedat Ceyhan 0000-0003-2336-0212

Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Aralık 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 9 Sayı: EKS 1 - 15. Ulusal Tarım Ekonomisi Kongresi Ek Sayısı

Kaynak Göster

APA Ceyhan, V. (2023). Türkiye’de Tarım Piyasaları İzleme, Değerlendirme ve Erken Uyarı: Mevcut Durum ve Yeni Yönelimler. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 9(EKS 1), 26-39. https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1361021
 Kapak Resmi İndir