Research Article
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How does mortality affect sustainable development goals?

Year 2023, Volume: 4 Issue: 6, 642 - 650, 31.12.2023

Gülay Ekinci

https://doi.org/10.47582/jompac.1341478

Abstract

Aims: The aim of this study was to reveal the relationship between the sustainable development indicators index score and mortality, including maternal deaths, deaths under the age of five (u5mortality) traffic deaths, and death of non-communicable disease (NCD mortality).
Methods: Panel data method was used in the analyses, mortality rates independent variables belonging to 11 OECD countries with regular data between 2000-2020; sustainable development indicators index score was considered as the dependent variable.
Results: According to the results of the least squares analysis, a 1% increase in maternal mortality reduced the sustainable development index score by 0.021%; a 1% increase in under five years mortality reduced the sustainable development index score by 0.037%; a 1% increase in NCD mortality reduced the sustainable development index score by 0.044%; a 1% increase in trafficmortality reduced the sustainable development index score by 0.016% (p<0.01). A Granger-type causality relationship was identified in different directions between the Sustainable Development Index score and various types of mortality. Additionally, it has been observed that the variables exhibit a long-term relationship. The results of this research explain that long-term mortality rates account for approximately 10% of all sustainable development-related indicators, emphasizing that a healthy social structure is a fundamental requirement for the sustainable development of countries.
Conclusion: Therefore, according to the empirical evidence obtained from the research, the increase in mortality negatively affects the SDG index score in the countries under analysis.

Keywords

Econometric evaluation sustainable development goals mortality

Project Number

YOK

References

  • Rabie M. Meaning of development, a theory of sustainable sociocultural and economic development. 1st edition. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US (2016) ISBN:978-1-349-88759-0
  • Meadows DH, Meadows DL, Randers J, Behrens WW. THE Limits To Growth: A Report For The Club Of Rome’s Project On The Predicament Of Mankind. New York Universe Books (1972) https://doi.org/10.1349/ddlp.https://www.clubofrome.org/publication/the-limits-to-growth/
  • Erkol M, Artun H, Temur A, Okur M. 3E, 5E ve FeTeMM ile desteklenmiş öğrenme ortamının sürdürülebilir kalkınma konusuna etkisi. J Comp Educat Res. 2022;10(19):73-102.
  • United Nations. Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda For Sustainable Development. Department of Economic And Social Affairs United Nations. 2015. Available at: https://sdgs.un.org/publications/transforming-our-world-2030-agenda-sustainabledevelopment-17981.
  • Sachs JD, Lafortune G, Fuller G, Drumm E. Implementing the SDG stimulus. Sustainable Development Report 2023. Dublin University Press (2023) 10.25546/102924
  • Chen L, Duan D, Han L, et al. Non-communicable disease-related sustainable development goals for 66 belt and road ınitiative countries. Int J Health Policy Manag. 2023;12(6172):1-12.
  • Kc A, Jha AK, Shrestha MP, Zhou H, Gurung A, Thapa J, Budhathoki SS. Trends for neonatal deaths in nepal (2001-2016) to project progress towards the sdg target in 2030, and risk factor analyses to focus action. Matern Child Health J. 2020;24(1):5-14.
  • Adeyinka DA, Muhajarine N, Petrucka P, et al. Inequities in child survival in Nigerian communities during the Sustainable Development Goal era: insights from analysis of 2016/2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. BMC Public Health. 2020;20: 1613.
  • Baltagi BH. Econometric Analysis Of Panel Data. 3rd ed. John Wiley and Sons, New York (2005) ISBN-13 978-0-470-01456-1.
  • Tunç Z. En küçük kareler ve temel bileşenler regresyon analizlerinin karşılaştırılması. İnönü Üniversitesi Sağlık Bilimleri Enstitüsü Biyoistatistik ve Tıp Bilişimi Anabilim Dalı Yüksek Lisans Tezi. 2018:1-70.
  • Granger CWJ. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral method. Econometrica. 1969;37(3): 424-438.
  • Lewin A, Lin CF, Chu CSJ. Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and nite-sample properties. J Econometric. 2002;108(1):1-24.
  • Im K, Peseran MH, Shin Y. Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J Econometrics. 2009;115(1):53-74.
  • Akyüz HE. Vektör otoregresyon (var) modeli ile iklimsel değişkenlerin istatistiksel analizi. Ulusl Mühendislik Araşt Geliştirme Derg. 2018;10(2):183-192.
  • Lusting N. Investing in health for economic development: the case of Mexico. Helsinki: Wider Research Paper. The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research. (2004). No. 2006/30. ISBN:9291907987.
  • Karagül M. Beşeri sermayenin iktisadi gelişmedeki rolü ve Türkiye’deki önemi. Afyon: Afyonkarahisar Kocatepe Üniversitesi Yayınları (2002) Yayın No: 37. 9757150487, 9789757150480.
  • Kartal T, Gursoy E. Sürdürülebilir kalkınma amaçlarında (2015-2030) emzirmenin önemi ve Türkiye’deki mevcut durum ışığında hemşireye düşen görevler. Mersin Üni Tıp Fak Lokman Hekim Tıp Tarihi Folkl Tıp Derg. 2020;10(2):147-153.
  • Zulfiqar A, Bhutta MB, Black RE. Global maternal, newborn, and child health—so near and yet so far. New England J Med. 2013;(369):2226-2235.
  • Pritchett L, Summers L. Wealthier is healthier. J Human Resour. 1996;31(4):841-868.
  • Say L, Chou D, Gemmill A, et al. Global causes of maternal health: a WHO systematic review. Lancet Global Health. 2014;2(6):e323–e333.
  • Morrison J, Malik SMMR. Population health trends and disease profile in Somalia 1990–2019, and projection to 2030: will the country achieve sustainable development goals 2 and 3? BMC Public Health. 2023;(23):66.
  • Lee Y, Kim SY. Public health law coverage in support of the health-related sustainable development goals (SDGs) among 33 Western Pacific countries. Globalization Health. 2019;(15):29.
  • Biermann F, Hickmann T, Sénıt CA. The political impact of the sustainable development goals; transforming governance through global goals? Cambridge University Press (2022) Available at: www.cambridge.org/9781316514290
  • Daher-Nashif S, Bawadi H. Women’s health and well-being in the united nations sustainable development goals: a narrative review of achievements and gaps in the gulf states. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020;17(3):1059.
  • Sharrow D, Hug L, You D, et al. Global, regional, and national trends in under-5 mortality between 1990 and 2019 with scenario-based projections until 2030: a systematic analysis by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation. Lancet Global Health. 2022;10(2):e195-e206.

Ölümler sürdürülebilir kalkınma hedeflerini nasıl etkiliyor?

Year 2023, Volume: 4 Issue: 6, 642 - 650, 31.12.2023

Gülay Ekinci

https://doi.org/10.47582/jompac.1341478

Abstract

Amaç: Bu çalışmanın amacı, Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Göstergeleri Endeksi puanı ile anne ölümleri, beş yaş altı ölümler (u5mortalite) trafik ölümleri ve bulaşıcı olmayan hastalıklardan kaynaklanan ölümler (BOH mortalitesi) dahil olmak üzere ölümler arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymaktır.
Yöntem: Analizlerde panel veri yöntemi kullanılmış, 2000-2020 yılları arasında düzenli verileri olan 11 OECD ülkesine ait ölüm oranları bağımsız değişkenler; Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Göstergeleri Endeksi puanı bağımlı değişken olarak kabul edilmiştir.
Bulgular: En küçük kareler analizi sonuçlarına göre anne ölümlerindeki %1'lik artış, sürdürülebilir kalkınma endeksi puanını %0,021 oranında; beş yaş altı ölüm oranlarındaki %1'lik artış sürdürülebilir kalkınma endeksi puanını %0,037; BOH mortalitesindeki %1'lik artış, sürdürülebilir kalkınma endeksi puanını %0,044; trafik ölümlerindeki %1'lik artış sürdürülebilir kalkınma endeksi puanını %0,016 oranında azaltmaktadır (p<0,01). Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Endeksi puanı ile ölüm türleri arasında farklı yönlerde Granger tipi nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiş ayrıca değişkenlerin uzun dönemli bir ilişki sergiledikleri de gözlemlenmiştir. Varyans ayrıştırma testleri de uzun dönemde ölüm oranlarının sürdürülebilir kalkınmaya ilişkin tüm göstergelerin yaklaşık %10'unu açıklayarak, sağlıklı bir sosyal yapının ülkelerin sürdürülebilir kalkınması için temel bir gereklilik olduğunu vurgulamıştır.
Sonuç: Araştırmadan elde edilen ampirik kanıtlara göre, ölüm oranlarındaki artış, analize tabi tutulan ülkelerdeki Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Hedefleri Endeksi puanını olumsuz yönde etkilemektedir.

Keywords

Ekonometrik Değerlendirme Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Hedefleri Mortalite.

Supporting Institution

YOK

Project Number

YOK

Thanks

YOK

References

  • Rabie M. Meaning of development, a theory of sustainable sociocultural and economic development. 1st edition. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US (2016) ISBN:978-1-349-88759-0
  • Meadows DH, Meadows DL, Randers J, Behrens WW. THE Limits To Growth: A Report For The Club Of Rome’s Project On The Predicament Of Mankind. New York Universe Books (1972) https://doi.org/10.1349/ddlp.https://www.clubofrome.org/publication/the-limits-to-growth/
  • Erkol M, Artun H, Temur A, Okur M. 3E, 5E ve FeTeMM ile desteklenmiş öğrenme ortamının sürdürülebilir kalkınma konusuna etkisi. J Comp Educat Res. 2022;10(19):73-102.
  • United Nations. Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda For Sustainable Development. Department of Economic And Social Affairs United Nations. 2015. Available at: https://sdgs.un.org/publications/transforming-our-world-2030-agenda-sustainabledevelopment-17981.
  • Sachs JD, Lafortune G, Fuller G, Drumm E. Implementing the SDG stimulus. Sustainable Development Report 2023. Dublin University Press (2023) 10.25546/102924
  • Chen L, Duan D, Han L, et al. Non-communicable disease-related sustainable development goals for 66 belt and road ınitiative countries. Int J Health Policy Manag. 2023;12(6172):1-12.
  • Kc A, Jha AK, Shrestha MP, Zhou H, Gurung A, Thapa J, Budhathoki SS. Trends for neonatal deaths in nepal (2001-2016) to project progress towards the sdg target in 2030, and risk factor analyses to focus action. Matern Child Health J. 2020;24(1):5-14.
  • Adeyinka DA, Muhajarine N, Petrucka P, et al. Inequities in child survival in Nigerian communities during the Sustainable Development Goal era: insights from analysis of 2016/2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. BMC Public Health. 2020;20: 1613.
  • Baltagi BH. Econometric Analysis Of Panel Data. 3rd ed. John Wiley and Sons, New York (2005) ISBN-13 978-0-470-01456-1.
  • Tunç Z. En küçük kareler ve temel bileşenler regresyon analizlerinin karşılaştırılması. İnönü Üniversitesi Sağlık Bilimleri Enstitüsü Biyoistatistik ve Tıp Bilişimi Anabilim Dalı Yüksek Lisans Tezi. 2018:1-70.
  • Granger CWJ. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral method. Econometrica. 1969;37(3): 424-438.
  • Lewin A, Lin CF, Chu CSJ. Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and nite-sample properties. J Econometric. 2002;108(1):1-24.
  • Im K, Peseran MH, Shin Y. Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J Econometrics. 2009;115(1):53-74.
  • Akyüz HE. Vektör otoregresyon (var) modeli ile iklimsel değişkenlerin istatistiksel analizi. Ulusl Mühendislik Araşt Geliştirme Derg. 2018;10(2):183-192.
  • Lusting N. Investing in health for economic development: the case of Mexico. Helsinki: Wider Research Paper. The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research. (2004). No. 2006/30. ISBN:9291907987.
  • Karagül M. Beşeri sermayenin iktisadi gelişmedeki rolü ve Türkiye’deki önemi. Afyon: Afyonkarahisar Kocatepe Üniversitesi Yayınları (2002) Yayın No: 37. 9757150487, 9789757150480.
  • Kartal T, Gursoy E. Sürdürülebilir kalkınma amaçlarında (2015-2030) emzirmenin önemi ve Türkiye’deki mevcut durum ışığında hemşireye düşen görevler. Mersin Üni Tıp Fak Lokman Hekim Tıp Tarihi Folkl Tıp Derg. 2020;10(2):147-153.
  • Zulfiqar A, Bhutta MB, Black RE. Global maternal, newborn, and child health—so near and yet so far. New England J Med. 2013;(369):2226-2235.
  • Pritchett L, Summers L. Wealthier is healthier. J Human Resour. 1996;31(4):841-868.
  • Say L, Chou D, Gemmill A, et al. Global causes of maternal health: a WHO systematic review. Lancet Global Health. 2014;2(6):e323–e333.
  • Morrison J, Malik SMMR. Population health trends and disease profile in Somalia 1990–2019, and projection to 2030: will the country achieve sustainable development goals 2 and 3? BMC Public Health. 2023;(23):66.
  • Lee Y, Kim SY. Public health law coverage in support of the health-related sustainable development goals (SDGs) among 33 Western Pacific countries. Globalization Health. 2019;(15):29.
  • Biermann F, Hickmann T, Sénıt CA. The political impact of the sustainable development goals; transforming governance through global goals? Cambridge University Press (2022) Available at: www.cambridge.org/9781316514290
  • Daher-Nashif S, Bawadi H. Women’s health and well-being in the united nations sustainable development goals: a narrative review of achievements and gaps in the gulf states. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020;17(3):1059.
  • Sharrow D, Hug L, You D, et al. Global, regional, and national trends in under-5 mortality between 1990 and 2019 with scenario-based projections until 2030: a systematic analysis by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation. Lancet Global Health. 2022;10(2):e195-e206.
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Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Health Economy
Journal Section Research Articles [en] Araştırma Makaleleri [tr]
Authors

Gülay Ekinci 0000-0003-4773-4821

Project Number YOK
Publication Date December 31, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 4 Issue: 6

Cite

AMA Ekinci G. How does mortality affect sustainable development goals?. J Med Palliat Care / JOMPAC / jompac. December 2023;4(6):642-650. doi:10.47582/jompac.1341478
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